Archive for February, 2012

Final Predictions for the Winners of the 84th Academy Awards

 


BEST PICTURE

The Artist

The Descendants

Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

The Help*Alternate

Hugo

Midnight in Paris

Moneyball

The Tree of Life

War Horse

–Pretty easily The Artist here. The Help seems to be very loved and The Descendents has gained some momentum, but neither are enough to take the top prize from the PGA, DGA, Globe, BFCA, BAFTA winner.

BEST ACTOR

Demián Bichir…A Better Life

George Clooney….The Descendants

Jean Dujardin…The Artist

Gary Oldman….Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Brad Pitt…Moneyball

This is one of the most difficult predictions for me. Dujardin seems to be dominating the precursor scene, but it just feels like George Clooney’s year. Either could take it and it would not be surprising. I’m still on the fence. I think I’m gonna take the risk and predict Clooney. BUT, Dujardin has SAG, BAFTA, Globe, and the Weinsteins. This is Dujardin’s to lose, I can’t go against my gut or Dave Karger. I’m thinking Clooney wins this, but Dujardin is probably the better choice.

BEST ACTRESS

Glenn Close…Albert Nobbs

Viola Davis…The Help

Rooney Mara…The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Meryl Streep…The Iron Lady

Michelle Williams….My Week with Marilyn

Another category that could go either way: Meryl Streep or Viola Davis. I’m fairly confident in my predicting Davis here. Critics Choice and SAG, plus her rigorous campaigning. I think Hollywood is rooting for her, so she’ll win here. Meryl does have Globe and BAFTA and it’s the closest she come to winning since 2002 for Adaptation. I’m interested to see how this plays out. Either way, a great actress will be rewarded.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Kenneth Branagh…My Week with Marilyn

Jonah Hill….Moneyball

Nick Nolte….Warrior

Christopher Plummer….Beginners

Max Von Sydow….Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

Not much commentary necessary. This is Plummer’s.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Berenice Bejo…The Artist

Jessica Chastain…The Help

Melissa McCarthy…Bridesmaids

Janet McTeer…Albert Nobbs

Octavia Spencer….The Help

Similar situation to Supporting Actor. Spencer will win this with ease.

BEST DIRECTOR

Woody Allen

Michel Hazanavicius

Terrence Malick

Alexander Payne

Martin Scorcese

After his DGA victory, Hazanavicius and The Artist win this also.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Woody Allen…Midnight in Paris

Michel Hazanavicius…The Artist

Asghar Farhadi…A Separation

Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo…Bridesmaids

JC Chandor…Margin Call

Plan on Woody Allen to win this one. If The Artist sweeps like some are expecting, then it will win here also. I just can’t bet against Woody. Ever.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton, Jim Rash…The Descendants

John Logan…Hugo

Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian, Stan Chervin…Moneyball

Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughn…Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon….The Ides of March

This will be where The Descendants gets awarded. Sorkin and the Moneyball team would probably win had he not won last year. For some reason though, I feel like Hugo may upset here.

EDITING: The Artist

CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Tree of Life (or The Artist)

ART DIRECTION: Hugo (again, or The Artist if it dominates)

SOUND MIXING/EDITING: Hugo

ORIGINAL SCORE: Bource…The Artist

FOREIGN LANGUAGE: A Separation is the obvious choice, but so was Pan’s Labyrinth. I’m predicting In Darkness

COSTUME DESIGN: The Artist

I’m gonna stop there. Some of these are probably wrong but we’ll see. My risky picks are Clooney>Dujardin and In Darkness > A Separation. 2011 was a great year for film. Can’t wait for new films and new contests all over again. Thanks for reading and enjoy the show tonight. Cheers!

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