Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life
–Pretty easily The Artist here. The Help seems to be very loved and The Descendents has gained some momentum, but neither are enough to take the top prize from the PGA, DGA, Globe, BFCA, BAFTA winner.
Demián Bichir…A Better Life
George Clooney….The Descendants
Jean Dujardin…The Artist
Gary Oldman….Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
This is one of the most difficult predictions for me. Dujardin seems to be dominating the precursor scene, but it just feels like George Clooney’s year. Either could take it and it would not be surprising. I’m still on the fence. I think I’m gonna take the risk and predict Clooney. BUT, Dujardin has SAG, BAFTA, Globe, and the Weinsteins. This is Dujardin’s to lose, I can’t go against my gut or Dave Karger. I’m thinking Clooney wins this, but Dujardin is probably the better choice.
Glenn Close…Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis…The Help
Rooney Mara…The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep…The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams….My Week with Marilyn
Another category that could go either way: Meryl Streep or Viola Davis. I’m fairly confident in my predicting Davis here. Critics Choice and SAG, plus her rigorous campaigning. I think Hollywood is rooting for her, so she’ll win here. Meryl does have Globe and BAFTA and it’s the closest she come to winning since 2002 for Adaptation. I’m interested to see how this plays out. Either way, a great actress will be rewarded.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh…My Week with Marilyn
Max Von Sydow….Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Not much commentary necessary. This is Plummer’s.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Berenice Bejo…The Artist
Jessica Chastain…The Help
Janet McTeer…Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer….The Help
Similar situation to Supporting Actor. Spencer will win this with ease.
After his DGA victory, Hazanavicius and The Artist win this also.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Woody Allen…Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius…The Artist
Asghar Farhadi…A Separation
Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo…Bridesmaids
JC Chandor…Margin Call
Plan on Woody Allen to win this one. If The Artist sweeps like some are expecting, then it will win here also. I just can’t bet against Woody. Ever.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton, Jim Rash…The Descendants
Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian, Stan Chervin…Moneyball
Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughn…Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon….The Ides of March
This will be where The Descendants gets awarded. Sorkin and the Moneyball team would probably win had he not won last year. For some reason though, I feel like Hugo may upset here.
EDITING: The Artist
CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Tree of Life (or The Artist)
ART DIRECTION: Hugo (again, or The Artist if it dominates)
SOUND MIXING/EDITING: Hugo
ORIGINAL SCORE: Bource…The Artist
FOREIGN LANGUAGE: A Separation is the obvious choice, but so was Pan’s Labyrinth. I’m predicting In Darkness
COSTUME DESIGN: The Artist
I’m gonna stop there. Some of these are probably wrong but we’ll see. My risky picks are Clooney>Dujardin and In Darkness > A Separation. 2011 was a great year for film. Can’t wait for new films and new contests all over again. Thanks for reading and enjoy the show tonight. Cheers!